Will Home Sales Surge this Winter?

Home Sales About To Surge? We May See a Winter Like Never Before.

Home Sales About To Surge? We May See a Winter Like Never Before. | MyKCM

Like most industries, residential real estate has a seasonality to it. For example, toy stores sell more toys in October, November, and December than they do in any other three-month span throughout the year. More cars are sold in the U.S. during the second quarter (April, May, and June) than in any other quarter of the year.

Real estate is very similar. The number of homes sold in the spring is almost always much greater than at any other time of the year. It’s even labeled as the spring buying season. Historically, the number of buyers and listings for sale significantly increase in the spring and remains strong throughout the summer. Once fall sets in, the number of buyers and sellers typically drops off.

Last year, however, that seasonality didn’t happen. The outbreak of the virus and subsequent slowing of the economy limited sales during the spring market. These sales were pushed back later in the year, and last fall and winter saw a dramatic increase in home sales over previous years. The only thing that held the market back was the extremely limited supply of homes for sale.

What About This Winter?

Some experts thought we’d return to the industry’s normal seasonality this winter with both the number of purchasers and houses available for sale falling off. However, data now shows that neither of those situations will likely occur. Buyer demand is still extremely strong, and it appears we may soon see a somewhat uncharacteristic increase in the number of homes coming to the market.

Buyer Demand Remains Strong
Home Sales About To Surge? We May See a Winter Like Never Before. | MyKCM

The latest Showing Index from ShowingTime, which tracks the average number of monthly showings on available homes, indicates buyer activity was slightly lower than at the same time last year but much higher than any of the three previous years (see chart below):A report from realtor.com confirms buying activity remains strong in the existing home sales market:

“New housing data shows 2021’s feverish home sales pace broke a yearly record in October, . . . with last month marking the eighth straight month of buyers snatching up homes more quickly than the fastest pace in previous years. . . .”

Buyer activity for newly constructed homes is also very strong. Ali Wolf, Chief Economist for Zondarecently reported that Stuart Miller, the Executive Chairman of Lennar, one of the nation’s largest home builders, said this about demand:

“There is still a great deal of demand at our sales centers with people lining up and not enough supply.”

The only question heading into this winter is whether the number of listings available could come close to meeting this buyer demand. We may have just received the answer to that question.

Sellers Are About To List – Right Now

Instead of waiting for the normal spring buying market, new research indicates that homeowners thinking about selling are about to put their homes on the market this winter.

Speaking to the release of a report on this recent research, George Ratiu, Manager of Economic Research for realtor.com, said:

“The pandemic has delayed plans for many Americans, and homeowners looking to move on to the next stage of life are no exception. Recent survey data suggests the majority of prospective sellers are actively preparing to enter the market this winter.

Here are some highlights in the report:

Of homeowners planning to enter the market in the next year:

  • 65% – Have just listed (19%) or plan to list this winter
  • 93% – Have already taken steps toward listing their home, including working with an agent (28%)
  • 36% – Have researched the value of their home and others in their neighborhood
  • 36% – Have started making repairs or decluttering

The report also discusses the reasons sellers want to move:

  • 33% – Have realized they want different home features
  • 37% – Say their home no longer meets their family’s needs
  • 32% – Want to move closer to friends and family
  • 23% – Are looking for a home office

Data shows buyer demand remains unusually strong going into this winter. Research indicates the supply of inventory is about to increase. This could be a winter real estate market like never before.

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking of buying or selling, now is the time to have a heart-to-heart conversation with a real estate professional in your market, as things are about to change in an unexpected way.



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Jennifer McMorran, Realtor, SRES
New Construction & First Time Home Buyer Specialist
MA, RI, and Cape Cod & Islands Licensed Real Estate Sales Associate
New Homes Team Kensington Real Estate Brokerage
508-930-5259
Jen.McMorran@gmail.com
www.jenmcmorran.realtor
real people. real estate. 


Winter Home Sales expected to surge.

Low Listing Inventory – List Now!

photo 1 (2)List now! List now!

Listing inventory
of desirable homes is low!!

Yes, there are listings on the market now that have been lingering for months without selling.  Unfortunately that is because they failed to appeal to buyers either by price or presentation when first going on the market.  Don’t let these sellers influence you… if you are ready to make a move, this is a great time to put your home on the market … buyers are looking for great homes and not finding them.  (No kidding, I was working throughout the holiday week with buyers checking out anything that we thought had “potential”.)

According to KCM:
Buyer Demand Continues to Outpace the Supply of Homes For Sale
The National Association of REALTORS’ (NAR) Chief Economist, Lawrence Yun recently commented on the inventory shortage:
“While feedback from REALTORS® continues to suggest healthy levels of buyer interest, available listings that are move-in ready and in affordable price ranges remain hard to come by for many would-be buyers.”

If you are thinking about making a move this year, this may be the perfect time of year to get your home listed and sold.  Too many home owners wait until the Spring and end up losing out when other homes are also hitting the market to compete for buyers.  List your home now and be sure it will stand out in a less crowded market.  Low inventory and my marketing strategies… it is sure to sell.

If you are committed to making a move, I strongly urge you to get your home listed and sold, then let’s get you into temporary housing.  Initially it may not sound appealing, but how does a carefree winter from shoveling snow sound? Plus you will be much more marketable as a buyer in the spring as you will be presenting offers that are not contingent on you selling a house.  Ahh… the joys of the non-contingent buyer… you are going to love the step up it will give you against other buyers when the busy housing market hits.  And, you will also love the flexibility  you’ll have to go after that perfect listing as soon as it hits MLS for sale.

Happy to chat or help in any way whether you interested in buyer or selling!  My goal is to enable buyers and sellers to make the decisions that are right for them.

Jen McMorran, RealtorJennifer McMorran, Realtor
New Construction Specialist
508-930-5259
Jen.McMorran@gmail.com
www.jenmcmorran.realtor

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real estate for real people.

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